Why ceasefires fail in myanmar

The Northern Alliance has recently held meetings with the government peace team with the other members of the FPNCC present as observers. All rights reserved. Her research focuses on social and political movements in Myanmar. Skip to content.

Ceasefires and Conflict Dynamics in Myanmar. May 13 Conflicting Proposals for Peace The current approach of the Myanmar military to achieving peace in the country rests on its insistence that all EAOs sign the Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement NCA before further formal negotiations can be held — an approach out of alignment with the EAOs currently fighting the military.

Disorder During the Ceasefire While the unilateral ceasefire was intended to allow the military to target a single group while limiting conflict in other parts of the country, a review of developments during the past four months shows three notable consequences of the ceasefire.

They discuss what the Mozambican government should prioritise in its response, including tackling the humanitarian fallout, improving governance in the area and overseeing regional military assistance. Most critically, Dr. Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies.

Review our privacy policy for more details. The Battered State of Activism in Africa. It was a move that appeared intended to distract from calls for dialogue on more autonomy by the groups and the development of a federalist Union.

In some cases, it worked. Before coming to power, Suu Kyi told the ethnic armed groups that there was no urgency to the agreement; she urged them to take as much time as they needed to consider the NCA before signing it. Once the NLD won the election, though, she began to press the groups into joining. Only eight out of the 15 groups invited signed the NCA in Two other groups became signatories this year.

In contrast, more powerful groups like the United Wa State Army and the KIA that were invited have chosen not to be included in the agreement. Suspicions that the Tatmadaw might be striking alliances with some groups over others has also proven to be an obstacle to peace- and trust-building. But such alliances can also be short-lived amid the complex landscape of shifting allegiances and priorities.

Thus, as long as the alliance holds, the military will not be able to isolate ethnic armed groups or to contain conflict in the country to a specific geographical location see Figure 2. Attachments Download document PDF 1.